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Pascal raises $9M to bring prediction markets to Wall Street

Manaal KhanJuly 21, 2026 at 2:16 AM4 min read
Pascal raises $9M to bring prediction markets to Wall Street

Key Takeaways

Pascal raises $9M to bring prediction markets to Wall Street
Source: AlleyWatch
  • Pascal raised $9M Series A from Union Square Ventures, bringing total funding to $15M
  • KelAI secured $4.98M for AI-powered hedge fund trading strategy research
  • NYC continues attracting fintech startups bridging traditional finance and emerging markets

Pascal, a prediction market exchange built for professional traders and institutions, has closed a $9M Series A led by Union Square Ventures. The round brings the New York startup's total reported equity funding to $15M. Founded in 2025 by Ivo Crnkovic-Rubsamen and Matthew Downey, Pascal is betting that prediction markets are ready to graduate from retail novelty to institutional asset class.

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Why institutions want prediction market access

Prediction markets let traders buy and sell contracts tied to future events: elections, economic indicators, corporate earnings, even weather. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability estimate. For hedge funds and proprietary trading desks, these markets offer something equities and fixed income cannot: a direct way to express views on discrete outcomes rather than directional price moves.

Retail platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi proved the concept works. Polymarket alone processed over $1 billion in trading volume during the 2024 US election cycle. But institutions face compliance, custody, and execution requirements that retail interfaces cannot satisfy. Pascal is building the infrastructure layer those traders need.

Union Square Ventures has a long history backing marketplaces that connect fragmented supply and demand. The firm's portfolio includes Twitter, Etsy, and Coinbase. Prediction markets fit the pattern: high-frequency, information-rich transactions where network effects compound over time.

KelAI raises $4.98M for AI trading strategy research

Also in the July 20 batch: KelAI, an AI research platform that discovers and backtests trading strategies for hedge funds and institutional investors. The company raised $4.98M according to an SEC filing, with fourteen investors participating. Jeremie Cohen founded KelAI in 2024.

The pitch is straightforward. Quantitative hedge funds spend millions each year on alpha research. Generating new trading signals, validating them against historical data, and stress-testing edge cases is labor-intensive and slow. KelAI automates portions of that pipeline with AI models that scan for statistical patterns humans might miss.

Whether AI can consistently outperform human quants remains contested. But the demand is real. Firms that manage billions cannot afford to ignore tools that might shave weeks off their research cycle, even if the hit rate is modest.

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Reve Technologies stays in stealth with $2.1M

A third deal surfaced in SEC filings: Reve Technologies raised $2.1M from three investors. The company, founded by Eytan Schindelhaim in 2026, has not disclosed its product. Stealth funding rounds are common when startups operate in competitive spaces or need runway to validate technology before facing public scrutiny.

What the pattern tells us

Two of the three deals announced July 20 sit at the intersection of finance and technology. Pascal is building market infrastructure. KelAI is selling research automation to funds. Both assume that institutional capital will keep flowing into newer asset classes and that software can reduce friction in how that capital gets deployed.

That assumption is not guaranteed. Prediction markets still face regulatory uncertainty in several jurisdictions. AI-driven trading strategies invite skepticism from allocators burned by past hype cycles. But the funding suggests at least some institutional LPs are willing to bet on the convergence.

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Logicity's Take

Pascal's institutional angle is smart positioning. Retail prediction markets are crowded and margin-thin. Institutions pay for compliance, uptime, and execution quality. If Pascal can nail those three, it becomes the Bloomberg terminal of event-driven trading. For founders in adjacent spaces, the lesson is clear: when a retail market proves demand, the next defensible layer is usually enterprise infrastructure. KelAI faces tougher odds. AI research tools for quants are a crowded field, with Bloomberg Terminal, Kensho, and in-house models all competing. Differentiation will depend on whether the platform surfaces genuinely novel signals or just accelerates workflows that already exist.

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$4B raised this week: Fireworks AI, Chai Discovery lead

Broader context on this week's startup funding activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What does Pascal do?

Pascal operates a prediction market exchange designed for professional traders and institutions. Users trade contracts whose value depends on the outcome of future events, such as elections, economic data releases, or corporate announcements.

Who invested in Pascal's Series A?

Union Square Ventures led the $9M Series A. The round brings Pascal's total reported equity funding to $15M.

How is Pascal different from Polymarket or Kalshi?

Pascal targets institutional traders rather than retail users. That means building compliance frameworks, custody solutions, and execution infrastructure that meet the requirements of hedge funds and trading desks.

What is KelAI?

KelAI is an AI research platform that helps hedge funds and institutional investors discover and test trading strategies. The company raised $4.98M from fourteen investors according to SEC filings.

How much funding did NYC startups raise on July 20, 2026?

At least $16.08M across three disclosed deals: Pascal ($9M), KelAI ($4.98M), and Reve Technologies ($2.1M).

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Need Help Implementing This?

If you're a founder building in fintech or prediction markets and need help with go-to-market strategy, fundraising positioning, or technical architecture, reach out to Logicity's network of advisors. We connect early-stage teams with operators who have scaled in similar spaces.

Source: AlleyWatch

M

Manaal Khan

Tech & Innovation Writer

Produced with AI assistance and reviewed by the Logicity editorial team. Learn more in our Editorial Policy.